toofasttim Posted April 29, 2008 Report Share Posted April 29, 2008 I'm pleased I didn't end up in you profession Donald. It's a bit like economics: "We have 33 variables. Let us assume that 32 are constants". Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gizza5 Posted April 29, 2008 Report Share Posted April 29, 2008 You been reading our manual???? too many ifs and buts, no two models are consistant. Everything we issue has a confidence level attached, Maybe this is the way you do it............ It was autumn, and the Indians on the remote reservation asked their new Chief if the winter was going to be cold or mild. Since he was an Indian Chief in a modern society, he had never been taught the old secrets, and when he looked at the sky, he couldn't tell what the weather was going to be. Nevertheless, to be on the safe side, he replied to his tribe that the winter was indeed going to be cold and that the members of the village should collect wood so they would be prepared for it. But also being a practical leader, after several days he got an idea. He went to the phone booth, called the National Weather Service and asked, "Is the coming winter going to be cold?" "It looks like this winter is going to be quite cold indeed," the Meteorologist at the weather service responded. So the Chief went back to his people and told them to collect even more wood in order to be prepared. One week later he called the National Weather Service again. "Is it going to be a very cold winter?" he asked. "Yes," the man at National Weather Service again replied, "it's going to be a very cold winter." The Chief again went back to his people and ordered them to collect every scrap of wood they could find. Two weeks later he called the National Weather Service again. "Are you absolutely sure that the winter is going to be very cold?" "Absolutely," the man replied. "It looks like it's going to be one of the coldest winters ever." "How can you be so sure?" the Chief asked. The weatherman replied, "The Indians are collecting firewood like crazy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slapshot 3 Posted April 29, 2008 Report Share Posted April 29, 2008 Maybe this is the way you do it............It was autumn, and the Indians on the remote reservation asked their new Chief if the winter was going to be cold or mild. Since he was an Indian Chief in a modern society, he had never been taught the old secrets, and when he looked at the sky, he couldn't tell what the weather was going to be. Nevertheless, to be on the safe side, he replied to his tribe that the winter was indeed going to be cold and that the members of the village should collect wood so they would be prepared for it. But also being a practical leader, after several days he got an idea. He went to the phone booth, called the National Weather Service and asked, "Is the coming winter going to be cold?" "It looks like this winter is going to be quite cold indeed," the Meteorologist at the weather service responded. So the Chief went back to his people and told them to collect even more wood in order to be prepared. One week later he called the National Weather Service again. "Is it going to be a very cold winter?" he asked. "Yes," the man at National Weather Service again replied, "it's going to be a very cold winter." The Chief again went back to his people and ordered them to collect every scrap of wood they could find. Two weeks later he called the National Weather Service again. "Are you absolutely sure that the winter is going to be very cold?" "Absolutely," the man replied. "It looks like it's going to be one of the coldest winters ever." "How can you be so sure?" the Chief asked. The weatherman replied, "The Indians are collecting firewood like crazy Old one that Mark..... one of our standards that...i'm just glad I'm finished for the next two weeks... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slapshot 3 Posted May 1, 2008 Report Share Posted May 1, 2008 (edited) Okay, I'm leaving for kinlochleven this morning so my last throw at the dice....... Friday - Patchy rain and drizzle but improving as the day progresses always a chance of a shower or two but improving. temp 10-12 Saturday -- Friday in reverse starting fine but rain due into that area by early to mid evening so becoming more cloudy as the day goes on, wind increasing overnight into Sunday. Temp Saturday up to 14 Sunday - not great, cloudy & wet, typical Fort William day temperature 11-13 (there is a a minor glimmer of hope, there is a high building over Scandinavia and the north sea, depending on how quickly it builds it could keep the rain and front out to sea.....maybe...) Monday - Any lingering rain should die out pretty early as the high has gains more influence. Nice day at Lagnaha hopefully. If the sun does get through we could have temperatures up to 15 -17 degrees. Tuesday similar to Monday Wednesday & Thursday - Reasonable days always the chance of a few showers though. Friday & Saturday - Front pushing in from the west as the High declines back to the rain and wind I'm afraid./ typical mixed bag, how many years since it was a real good 'un. Moderatley confident out to Monday but beyond.....that's a crystal ball job, not even the seaweed is helping there. As always...it'll probably all go horribly wrong Edited May 1, 2008 by Slapshot 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toofasttim Posted May 1, 2008 Report Share Posted May 1, 2008 not even the seaweed is helping there. Tealeaves? Have you tried tealeaves? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slapshot 3 Posted May 7, 2008 Report Share Posted May 7, 2008 (there is a a minor glimmer of hope, there is a high building over Scandinavia and the north sea, depending on how quickly it builds it could keep the rain and front out to sea.....maybe...)Monday - Any lingering rain should die out pretty early as the high has gains more influence. Nice day at Lagnaha I'm not gloating but.....that high did the trick I'm home (bah humbug) but sunburnt...haven't said that after a Scottish for a few years..... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kinell Posted May 7, 2008 Report Share Posted May 7, 2008 I'm not gloating but.....that high did the trick I'm home (bah humbug) but sunburnt...haven't said that after a Scottish for a few years..... Sunburnt? ****ing typical Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
slapshot 3 Posted May 7, 2008 Report Share Posted May 7, 2008 Sunburnt? ****ing typical My ever balding pate is redder than the header bars at the top of this page......Monday was superb, down in the burn at Lagnaha, sun shining, warm....nah HOT superb riding...only a cold one would have improved it Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nigel dabster Posted May 7, 2008 Report Share Posted May 7, 2008 My ever balding pate is redder than the header bars at the top of this page......Monday was superb, down in the burn at Lagnaha, sun shining, warm....nah HOT superb riding...only a cold one would have improved it At least if you didn't get it 100% right it was the weather most wanted. I expect it was a bit hot for perce though........... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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